  A US Navy destroyer takes part in the 
 China-US search and rescue drill in South China Sea on November 19, 2006. 
 [newsphoto]
   | 
WASHINGTON - The United States has 
been exaggerating China's nuclear clout in a process that could lock the two 
into a Cold War-style arms race, two arms-control advocacy groups said in a 
report Thursday. 
The Defense Department and US intelligence agencies have portrayed Chinese 
weapons developments as more threatening than warranted, to justify building a 
new generation of weapons, according to the study by the Federation of American 
Scientists and the Natural Resources Defense Council. 
"The report's main finding is that the Pentagon and others routinely 
highlight specific incidents out of context that inaccurately portray a looming 
Chinese threat," the groups said in a statement. 
Specifically, they said, the Defense Department and US intelligence agencies 
had been "embellishing China's submarine and long-range missile capabilities." 
China, in turn, views US arms upgrades as a reason for modernizing its 
arsenal, said the 250-page report, which is based on an analysis of declassified 
and unclassified US government documents as well as commercial satellite images 
of Chinese installations. 
This could pitch the two into "a dangerous action-and-reaction competition 
reminiscent of the Cold War," the two groups said. But they said China was 
unlikely to build large nuclear forces of its own despite a desire to make its 
arsenal more powerful. 
"Military planners always need a rationale -- a real or potential danger -- 
for why they must have new weapons or new strategies and plans," said the study, 
"Chinese Nuclear Forces and US Nuclear War Planning." 
"With the dissolution of the Soviet Union, which occupied that role for 
almost 50 years, the United States has turned its attention to China to help 
fill the vacuum," it said. 
The report faulted China for cloaking its nuclear forces in secrecy, amid 
what it portrayed as a US government scare campaign bolstered by conservative 
media and think tanks. 
Beijing has not made clear of the scale, scope and purpose of its military 
modernization, it said, adding: "Inflated and worst-case descriptions of China's 
nuclear programs feed on the lack of information." 
The Pentagon and the office of the Director of National Intelligence had no 
immediate comment. 
The report said the US arsenal of about 10,000 nuclear weapons dwarfed 
China's roughly 200 and would continue to do so. 
In a long-range planning document published in February, the Pentagon sounded 
an alarm at China's investments in "sophisticated land and sea-based (nuclear 
strike) systems." 
The threat puts a premium on developing US forces "capable of sustained 
operations at great distances into denied areas," the Pentagon's planning review 
said. 
China is about to field three new long-range ballistic missiles that US 
intelligence says were developed in response to Washington's deployment of 
more-accurate Trident II sea-launched ballistic missiles. 
China has about 20 ballistic missiles capable of reaching the continental 
United States; the United States has more than 830 missiles -- most with 
multiple warheads -- that can hit China, it added. 
"China is no Soviet Union," said Robert Norris, a Natural Resources Defense 
Council analyst and a report co-author. He said the Pentagon had been using 
China to justify buying new missiles, destroyers, submarines and fighter planes. 
Hans Kristensen, project director at the Federation of American Scientists 
and the report's lead author, told Reuters: "The hype has occurred, as far as we 
can see, in the assessments of the size of the Chinese nuclear arsenal, 
predicting and reporting when new systems will be deployed, and in 
'cherry-picking' dramatic new developments taken out of context that overstate a 
threat."